Seasonal Trade Opportunity in Corn Derivatives

19 July 2022

Seasonal Trade Opportunity in Corn Derivatives

A seasonal trade in CME Corn calendar spread is emerging for this month.

Trade name:    (-1*CU22+CH23)

Shorting Sep’22 contract against taking equal lots of Mar’23 contract long today with an exit date of August 13, 2022.

With peak weather behind us, the market takes the corn forward curve towards cost of carry, pushing this spread lower. The said trade has given positive returns for 27 times out of past 28 years, with the only exception in 2009.

For more such seasonal trade opportunities contact us at contact@agpulse.net

Start Date

Entry (c/bu)

End Date

End (c/bu)

P/L

Jul 19, 2021

               3.75

Aug 13, 2021

          11.25

 $375.00

Jul 20, 2020

             18.00

Aug 13, 2020

          24.50

 $325.00

Jul 19, 2019

             13.25

Aug 13, 2019

          24.00

 $537.50

Jul 19, 2018

             25.25

Aug 13, 2018

          25.50

 $12.50

Jul 19, 2017

             24.50

Aug 11, 2017

          25.75

 $62.50

Jul 19, 2016

             15.75

Aug 12, 2016

          21.25

 $275.00

Jul 20, 2015

             21.25

Aug 13, 2015

          23.25

 $100.00

Jul 21, 2014

             19.75

Aug 13, 2014

          25.00

 $262.50

Jul 19, 2013

           -31.25

Aug 13, 2013

             5.50

 $1,837.50

Jul 19, 2012

           -37.25

Aug 13, 2012

          13.00

 $2,512.50

Jul 19, 2011

               1.25

Aug 12, 2011

          25.75

 $1,225.00

Jul 19, 2010

             24.50

Aug 13, 2010

          28.75

 $212.50

Jul 20, 2009

             24.25

Aug 13, 2009

          21.50

 $-137.50

Jul 21, 2008

             38.50

Aug 13, 2008

          38.75

 $12.50

Jul 19, 2007

             30.50

Aug 13, 2007

          33.25

 $137.50

Jul 19, 2006

             30.00

Aug 11, 2006

          32.00

 $100.00

Jul 19, 2005

             16.00

Aug 12, 2005

          22.00

 $300.00

Jul 19, 2004

             15.75

Aug 13, 2004

          19.25

 $175.00

Jul 21, 2003

             14.25

Aug 13, 2003

          17.00

 $137.50

Jul 19, 2002

             15.75

Aug 13, 2002

          16.25

 $25.00

Jul 19, 2001

             21.50

Aug 13, 2001

          21.75

 $12.50

Jul 19, 2000

             23.50

Aug 11, 2000

          24.50

 $50.00

Jul 19, 1999

             22.75

Aug 13, 1999

          24.50

 $87.50

Jul 20, 1998

             14.00

Aug 13, 1998

          22.00

 $400.00

Jul 21, 1997

               9.25

Aug 13, 1997

          11.50

 $112.50

Jul 19, 1996

           -22.50

Aug 13, 1996

         -18.25

 $212.50

Jul 19, 1995

               4.75

Aug 11, 1995

             7.25

 $125.00

Jul 19, 1994

               8.50

Aug 12, 1994

          12.50

 $200.00

 

Disclaimer

Any and all liability for risks resulting from investment transactions or other asset dispositions carried out by the customer based on information received/market analysis excludes any responsibility by AgPulse Analytica Pvt. Ltd.. All the information made available here is generally provided to serve as an example only, without obligation and without specific recommendations for action. It does not constitute and cannot replace investment advice. We therefore recommend that you contact your personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments.

In view of the high risks, you should only carry out such transactions if you understand the nature of the contracts (and contractual relationships) you are entering into and if you are able to fully assess the extent of your risk potential. Trading with futures, options and similar financial instruments is not suitable for many people. You should carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you based on your experience, your objectives, your financial situation and other relevant circumstances.